Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. (9/17-21, likely voters)
Mark Begich (D): 47
Ted Stevens (R-inc): 43
(MoE: ±4.0%)
Ethan Berkowitz (D): 47
Don Young (R-inc): 41
(MoE: ±4.0%)
Fairleigh Dickinson has decided to expand its operations from New Jersey… to Alaska? Well, at any rate, it’s at an opportune time, as they join the pack of pollsters seeing tightening races in Alaska in the post-Palin environment (and as the initial shock of Uncle Ted’s indictment fades). In fact, these numbers quite closely resemble those announced by Ivan Moore earlier today (Begich up 48-46, Berkowitz up 49-44).
Ominously for the incumbents, Stevens pulls down only 67% support from Republicans, and Young is supported by only 50% of Republicans. Both races are also built on glaring gender gaps: for instance, Young is up by 10 among men, while Berkowitz is up by 22 among women.
Isn’t it reasonable to assume that due to the recentness of the contested primary, AND the recentness of the final result determination, that the Sean Parnell supporters just haven’t had enough time yet to swallow the lose and “come home” yet? and grudgingly support Young?
Wow, I think even if Stevens gets convicted he could still pull down 40-45 percent. It is sad that he and William Jefferson do so well and yes they are still entitled to due process of course, but how darn loyal are these voters? I wonder if they could set up some sort of proxy system where Stevens casts his votes and participates in committee hearings from prison? (: